US HVAC Market Size, Trends and Insights By Type (Single Splits, Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems, Chillers, Others), By Implementation (New Construction, Retrofit Buildings), By End User (Commercial, Residential, Industrial), and By Region - Industry Overview, Statistical Data, Competitive Analysis, Share, Outlook, and Forecast 2024–2033
Reports Description
As per the current market research conducted by the CMI Team, the US HVAC Market is expected to record a CAGR of 6.1% from 2024 to 2033. In 2024, the market size is projected to reach a valuation of USD 34,148.8 Million. By 2033, the valuation is anticipated to reach USD 58,185.4 Million.
The US HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) market is a dynamic sector encompassing the manufacturing, distribution, installation, and servicing of HVAC equipment and systems for residential, commercial, and industrial applications.
With a focus on providing thermal comfort and indoor air quality, the market offers a wide range of products including furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, ventilation systems, and smart HVAC controls.
Key players in the market include leading manufacturers such as Carrier, Trane, and Lennox, along with a network of contractors, distributors, and service providers, collectively contributing to the multi-billion-dollar industry’s growth and innovation.
US HVAC Market – Significant Growth Factors
The US HVAC Market presents significant growth opportunities due to several factors:
- Energy Efficiency Regulations: Stringent energy efficiency regulations and environmental standards drive demand for energy-efficient HVAC systems, encouraging consumers and businesses to upgrade to more efficient models to reduce energy consumption and operating costs.
- Technological Advancements: Continuous advancements in HVAC technologies, such as smart thermostats, variable-speed compressors, and advanced control systems, enhance system performance, comfort, and energy efficiency, driving market growth through innovation.
- Increasing Construction Activities: Booming construction activities, including residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, create demand for HVAC systems in new building projects and renovations, stimulating market growth as HVAC systems are essential components of modern buildings.
- Focus on Indoor Air Quality (IAQ): Growing awareness of IAQ issues and health concerns, particularly in light of the COVID-19 pandemic, drives demand for HVAC systems equipped with advanced air filtration, ventilation, and purification technologies to provide healthier indoor environments, thereby boosting market growth.
- Retrofit and Replacement Market: The existing building stock presents significant opportunities for retrofit and replacement projects, as aging HVAC systems are replaced with more energy-efficient and technologically advanced systems to improve comfort, energy efficiency, and indoor air quality.
- Integration of Renewable Energy Sources: The integration of renewable energy sources, such as solar thermal and geothermal energy, into HVAC systems, presents an opportunity to reduce reliance on fossil fuels, lower greenhouse gas emissions, and achieve sustainability goals, driving market growth in the renewable HVAC sector.
- Government Incentives and Rebates: Government incentives, tax credits, and rebates for energy-efficient HVAC upgrades incentivize consumers and businesses to invest in high-efficiency systems, driving market demand and accelerating the adoption of environmentally friendly HVAC solutions.
- Smart Building Integration: The integration of HVAC systems with smart building technologies and building automation systems offers opportunities for improved energy management, predictive maintenance, and occupant comfort. By integrating HVAC systems with other building systems, such as lighting and security, building owners can optimize energy usage, reduce operational costs, and enhance overall building performance. This trend fosters innovation and drives market growth in the smart HVAC segment.
US HVAC Market – Mergers and Acquisitions
The US HVAC Market has seen several mergers and acquisitions in recent years, with companies seeking to expand their market presence and leverage synergies to improve their product offerings and profitability. Some notable examples of mergers and acquisitions in the US HVAC Market include:
- In 2023, Lennox International Inc. recently acquired AES Industries Inc. and AES Mechanical Service Group Inc., integrating them into its Building Climate Solutions segment. AES will operate within Lennox’s Commercial business segment, enhancing the delivery of comprehensive life-cycle integrated services to both AES and Lennox customers.
- In 2023, Panasonic introduced INTERIOS, a flexible central heat pump system, enhancing indoor air quality and offering efficient heating and cooling for Canadian homes. This advancement in residential heat pump technology signifies a significant innovation, promising affordability and improved comfort for homeowners.
These mergers and acquisitions have helped companies expand their product offerings, improve their market presence, and capitalize on growth opportunities in the US HVAC Market. The trend is expected to continue as companies seek to gain a competitive edge in the market.
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE RELATED MARKET
US HVAC Market | Marine HVAC Market | Active Optical Cable Market |
CAGR 6.1% (Approx) | CAGR 4.5% (Approx) | CAGR 14.2% (Approx) |
USD 58,185.4 Million by 2033 | USD 2.7 Billion by 2033 | USD 27,383.2 Million by 2033 |
US HVAC Market – Significant Threats
The US HVAC Market faces several significant threats that could impact its growth and profitability in the future. Some of these threats include:
- Economic Downturns: Economic recessions or downturns can lead to reduced construction activity and discretionary spending, impacting demand for HVAC systems in new building projects and renovations, thereby threatening market growth.
- Competition from Low-cost Imports: Intense competition from low-cost imports, particularly from countries with lower labor and production costs, can pressure domestic HVAC manufacturers to lower prices, impacting profit margins and market share.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: Disruptions in the global supply chain, such as raw material shortages, transportation bottlenecks, or geopolitical tensions, can lead to delays in manufacturing and distribution, impacting product availability and increasing costs for HVAC manufacturers and suppliers.
- Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulatory requirements, including energy efficiency standards, refrigerant phaseouts, and environmental regulations, can increase compliance costs for HVAC manufacturers and distributors, affecting product development and market competitiveness.
- Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology, such as the emergence of disruptive HVAC technologies or alternative solutions, could potentially disrupt traditional HVAC markets and business models, posing a threat to established players who fail to adapt to changing market dynamics and consumer preferences.
Category-Wise Insights
By Type:
- Single Splits: Single split systems consist of an outdoor unit (condenser) and an indoor unit (evaporator) connected by refrigerant lines, offering individualized heating and cooling for single rooms or zones. Increasing adoption in residential and small commercial applications due to their affordability, ease of installation, and energy efficiency.
- Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems: VRF systems provide simultaneous heating and cooling to multiple zones using a single outdoor unit, offering precise temperature control and energy efficiency. Growing popularity in commercial buildings and high-rise developments due to their flexibility, zoning capabilities, and ability to accommodate varying loads and occupancy levels.
- Chillers: Chillers are refrigeration systems that produce chilled water for cooling large buildings, industrial processes, and HVAC systems. Increasing demand for energy-efficient chillers with advanced controls and variable-speed compressors to optimize performance and reduce operating costs in commercial and industrial applications.
- Others: This category includes specialized HVAC systems and technologies such as geothermal heat pumps, rooftop units, packaged systems, and ductless mini-split systems. Growing interest in energy-efficient and environmentally friendly HVAC solutions, driving innovation in areas such as renewable energy integration, advanced filtration, and smart building technologies.
By Implementation
- New Construction: In new construction projects, HVAC systems are installed in buildings during the construction phase. Trends in the US HVAC market for new construction include the adoption of energy-efficient systems compliant with building codes, the integration of smart HVAC controls for improved efficiency and comfort, and the use of renewable energy sources such as geothermal and solar to meet sustainability goals.
- Retrofit Buildings: Retrofitting involves upgrading or replacing existing HVAC systems in older buildings to improve energy efficiency, indoor air quality, and comfort. Trends in the US HVAC market for retrofit buildings include the adoption of high-efficiency equipment, the implementation of advanced control systems for optimization, and the integration of IAQ solutions to address health concerns such as ventilation and filtration in existing building stock.
By End Users
- Commercial: The commercial HVAC segment caters to the heating, cooling, and ventilation needs of offices, retail spaces, hotels, hospitals, and other commercial buildings. Trends include a focus on energy efficiency, indoor air quality solutions, and smart building integration to optimize comfort and operational efficiency while reducing environmental impact.
- Residential: Residential HVAC systems provide heating, cooling, and ventilation for single-family homes, apartments, and condominiums. Trends include the adoption of energy-efficient HVAC equipment, smart thermostats, and indoor air quality solutions to enhance comfort, reduce energy costs, and promote healthier indoor environments for homeowners.
- Industrial: Industrial HVAC systems serve large-scale facilities, manufacturing plants, warehouses, and industrial processes. Trends include specialized HVAC solutions tailored to industrial applications, such as process cooling, ventilation, and humidity control, along with advancements in predictive maintenance and energy management technologies to optimize system performance and reliability in industrial settings.
Report Scope
Feature of the Report | Details |
Market Size in 2024 | USD 34,148.8 Million |
Projected Market Size in 2033 | USD 58,185.4 Million |
Market Size in 2023 | USD 32,185.5 Million |
CAGR Growth Rate | 6.1% CAGR |
Base Year | 2023 |
Forecast Period | 2024-2033 |
Key Segment | By Type, Implementation, End User and Region |
Report Coverage | Revenue Estimation and Forecast, Company Profile, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors and Recent Trends |
Regional Scope | North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and South & Central America |
Buying Options | Request tailored purchasing options to fulfil your requirements for research. |
Competitive Landscape – US HVAC Market
The US HVAC Market is highly competitive, with a large number of manufacturers and service providers operating in the US. Some of the key players in the market include:
- Carrier Corporation
- Trane Technologies
- Lennox International Inc.
- Daikin Industries Ltd.
- Johnson Controls International plc
- Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
- Rheem Manufacturing Company
- Goodman Manufacturing Company L.P.
- York International Corporation
- American Standard Companies Inc.
- Fujitsu General Ltd.
- Bryant Heating & Cooling Systems
- Amana Corporation
- Ruud Manufacturing Company
- Emerson Electric Co.
- Others
These companies operate in the market through various strategies such as product innovation, mergers and acquisitions, and partnerships.
Several new players entering the HVAC market are adopting innovation and development to establish their presence. These companies often focus on disruptive technologies like smart HVAC controls, energy-efficient systems, and IAQ solutions to differentiate themselves.
Key players dominating the market, such as Carrier, Trane, and Lennox, maintain their position through extensive R&D investments, established distribution networks, brand recognition, and a wide range of product offerings. They leverage their market presence to introduce new technologies, expand their product portfolios, and provide comprehensive support services, solidifying their dominance in the HVAC industry.
The US HVAC Market is segmented as follows:
By Type
- Single Splits
- Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems
- Chillers
- Others
By Implementation
- New Construction
- Retrofit Buildings
By End User
- Commercial
- Residential
- Industrial
Table of Contents
- Chapter 1. Preface
- 1.1 Report Description and Scope
- 1.2 Research scope
- 1.3 Research methodology
- 1.3.1 Market Research Type
- 1.3.2 Market Research Methodology
- Chapter 2. Executive Summary
- 2.1 US HVAC Market, (2024 – 2033) (USD Million)
- 2.2 US HVAC Market: snapshot
- Chapter 3. US HVAC Market – Industry Analysis
- 3.1 US HVAC Market: Market Dynamics
- 3.2 Market Drivers
- 3.2.1 Energy Efficiency Regulations
- 3.2.2 Technological Advancements
- 3.2.3 Increasing Construction Activities
- 3.2.4 Focus on Indoor Air Quality (IAQ)
- 3.2.5 Retrofit and Replacement Market
- 3.2.6 Integration of Renewable Energy Sources
- 3.2.7 Government Incentives and Rebates
- 3.2.8 Smart Building Integration.
- 3.3 Market Restraints
- 3.4 Market Opportunities
- 3.5 Market Challenges
- 3.6 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
- 3.7 Market Attractiveness Analysis
- 3.7.1 Market Attractiveness Analysis By Type
- 3.7.2 Market Attractiveness Analysis By Implementation
- 3.7.3 Market Attractiveness Analysis By End User
- Chapter 4. US HVAC Market- Competitive Landscape
- 4.1 Company market share analysis
- 4.1.1 US HVAC Market: company market share, 2023
- 4.2 Strategic development
- 4.2.1 Acquisitions & mergers
- 4.2.2 New Product launches
- 4.2.3 Agreements, partnerships, collaboration, and joint ventures
- 4.2.4 Research and development and Regional expansion
- 4.3 Price trend analysis
- 4.1 Company market share analysis
- Chapter 5. US HVAC Market – Type Analysis
- 5.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By Type
- 5.1.1 US HVAC Market Share, By Type, 2023 and 2033
- 5.2 Single Splits
- 5.2.1 US HVAC Market by Single Splits, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.3 Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems
- 5.3.1 US HVAC Market by Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) Systems, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.4 Chillers
- 5.4.1 US HVAC Market by Chillers, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.5 Others
- 5.5.1 US HVAC Market by Others, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 5.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By Type
- Chapter 6. US HVAC Market – Implementation Analysis
- 6.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By Implementation
- 6.1.1 US HVAC Market Share, By Implementation, 2023 and 2033
- 6.2 New Construction
- 6.2.1 US HVAC Market by New Construction, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.3 Retrofit Buildings
- 6.3.1 US HVAC Market by Retrofit Buildings, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 6.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By Implementation
- Chapter 7. US HVAC Market – End User Analysis
- 7.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By End User
- 7.1.1 US HVAC Market Share, By End User, 2023 and 2033
- 7.2 Commercial
- 7.2.1 US HVAC Market by Commercial, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 7.3 Residential
- 7.3.1 US HVAC Market by Residential, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 7.4 Industrial
- 7.4.1 US HVAC Market by Industrial, 2024 – 2033 (USD Million)
- 7.1 US HVAC Market Overview: By End User
- Chapter 8. US HVAC Market – Regional Analysis
- 8.1 US HVAC Market Regional Overview
- 8.2 US HVAC Market Share, by Region, 2023 & 2033 (USD Million)
- Chapter 9. Company Profiles
- 9.1 Carrier Corporation
- 9.1.1 Overview
- 9.1.2 Financials
- 9.1.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.1.4 Business Strategy
- 9.1.5 Recent Developments
- 9.2 Trane Technologies
- 9.2.1 Overview
- 9.2.2 Financials
- 9.2.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.2.4 Business Strategy
- 9.2.5 Recent Developments
- 9.3 Lennox International Inc.
- 9.3.1 Overview
- 9.3.2 Financials
- 9.3.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.3.4 Business Strategy
- 9.3.5 Recent Developments
- 9.4 Daikin Industries Ltd.
- 9.4.1 Overview
- 9.4.2 Financials
- 9.4.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.4.4 Business Strategy
- 9.4.5 Recent Developments
- 9.5 Johnson Controls International plc
- 9.5.1 Overview
- 9.5.2 Financials
- 9.5.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.5.4 Business Strategy
- 9.5.5 Recent Developments
- 9.6 Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
- 9.6.1 Overview
- 9.6.2 Financials
- 9.6.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.6.4 Business Strategy
- 9.6.5 Recent Developments
- 9.7 Rheem Manufacturing Company
- 9.7.1 Overview
- 9.7.2 Financials
- 9.7.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.7.4 Business Strategy
- 9.7.5 Recent Developments
- 9.8 Goodman Manufacturing Company L.P.
- 9.8.1 Overview
- 9.8.2 Financials
- 9.8.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.8.4 Business Strategy
- 9.8.5 Recent Developments
- 9.9 York International Corporation
- 9.9.1 Overview
- 9.9.2 Financials
- 9.9.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.9.4 Business Strategy
- 9.9.5 Recent Developments
- 9.10 American Standard Companies Inc.
- 9.10.1 Overview
- 9.10.2 Financials
- 9.10.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.10.4 Business Strategy
- 9.10.5 Recent Developments
- 9.11 Fujitsu General Ltd.
- 9.11.1 Overview
- 9.11.2 Financials
- 9.11.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.11.4 Business Strategy
- 9.11.5 Recent Developments
- 9.12 Bryant Heating & Cooling Systems
- 9.12.1 Overview
- 9.12.2 Financials
- 9.12.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.12.4 Business Strategy
- 9.12.5 Recent Developments
- 9.13 Amana Corporation
- 9.13.1 Overview
- 9.13.2 Financials
- 9.13.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.13.4 Business Strategy
- 9.13.5 Recent Developments
- 9.14 Ruud Manufacturing Company
- 9.14.1 Overview
- 9.14.2 Financials
- 9.14.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.14.4 Business Strategy
- 9.14.5 Recent Developments
- 9.15 Emerson Electric Co.
- 9.15.1 Overview
- 9.15.2 Financials
- 9.15.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.15.4 Business Strategy
- 9.15.5 Recent Developments
- 9.16 Others.
- 9.16.1 Overview
- 9.16.2 Financials
- 9.16.3 Product Portfolio
- 9.16.4 Business Strategy
- 9.16.5 Recent Developments
- 9.1 Carrier Corporation
List Of Figures
Figures No 1 to 20
List Of Tables
Tables No 1 to 2
Report Methodology
In order to get the most precise estimates and forecasts possible, Custom Market Insights applies a detailed and adaptive research methodology centered on reducing deviations. For segregating and assessing quantitative aspects of the market, the company uses a combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches. Furthermore, data triangulation, which examines the market from three different aspects, is a recurring theme in all of our research reports. The following are critical components of the methodology used in all of our studies:
Preliminary Data Mining
On a broad scale, raw market information is retrieved and compiled. Data is constantly screened to make sure that only substantiated and verified sources are taken into account. Furthermore, data is mined from a plethora of reports in our archive and also a number of reputed & reliable paid databases. To gain a detailed understanding of the business, it is necessary to know the entire product life cycle and to facilitate this, we gather data from different suppliers, distributors, and buyers.
Surveys, technological conferences, and trade magazines are used to identify technical issues and trends. Technical data is also gathered from the standpoint of intellectual property, with a focus on freedom of movement and white space. The dynamics of the industry in terms of drivers, restraints, and valuation trends are also gathered. As a result, the content created contains a diverse range of original data, which is then cross-validated and verified with published sources.
Statistical Model
Simulation models are used to generate our business estimates and forecasts. For each study, a one-of-a-kind model is created. Data gathered for market dynamics, the digital landscape, development services, and valuation patterns are fed into the prototype and analyzed concurrently. These factors are compared, and their effect over the projected timeline is quantified using correlation, regression, and statistical modeling. Market forecasting is accomplished through the use of a combination of economic techniques, technical analysis, industry experience, and domain knowledge.
Short-term forecasting is typically done with econometric models, while long-term forecasting is done with technological market models. These are based on a synthesis of the technological environment, legal frameworks, economic outlook, and business regulations. Bottom-up market evaluation is favored, with crucial regional markets reviewed as distinct entities and data integration to acquire worldwide estimates. This is essential for gaining a thorough knowledge of the industry and ensuring that errors are kept to a minimum.
Some of the variables taken into account for forecasting are as follows:
• Industry drivers and constraints, as well as their current and projected impact
• The raw material case, as well as supply-versus-price trends
• Current volume and projected volume growth through 2033
We allocate weights to these variables and use weighted average analysis to determine the estimated market growth rate.
Primary Validation
This is the final step in our report’s estimating and forecasting process. Extensive primary interviews are carried out, both in-person and over the phone, to validate our findings and the assumptions that led to them.
Leading companies from across the supply chain, including suppliers, technology companies, subject matter experts, and buyers, use techniques like interviewing to ensure a comprehensive and non-biased overview of the business. These interviews are conducted all over the world, with the help of local staff and translators, to overcome language barriers.
Primary interviews not only aid with data validation, but also offer additional important insight into the industry, existing business scenario, and future projections, thereby improving the quality of our reports.
All of our estimates and forecasts are validated through extensive research work with key industry participants (KIPs), which typically include:
• Market leaders
• Suppliers of raw materials
• Suppliers of raw materials
• Buyers.
The following are the primary research objectives:
• To ensure the accuracy and acceptability of our data.
• Gaining an understanding of the current market and future projections.
Data Collection Matrix
Perspective | Primary research | Secondary research |
Supply-side |
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Demand-side |
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Market Analysis Matrix
Qualitative analysis | Quantitative analysis |
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Prominent Player
- Carrier Corporation
- Trane Technologies
- Lennox International Inc.
- Daikin Industries Ltd.
- Johnson Controls International plc
- Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
- Rheem Manufacturing Company
- Goodman Manufacturing Company L.P.
- York International Corporation
- American Standard Companies Inc.
- Fujitsu General Ltd.
- Bryant Heating & Cooling Systems
- Amana Corporation
- Ruud Manufacturing Company
- Emerson Electric Co.
- Others
FAQs
The key factors driving the Market are Energy Efficiency Regulations, Technological Advancements, Increasing Construction Activities, Focus on Indoor Air Quality (IAQ), Retrofit and Replacement Market, Integration of Renewable Energy Sources, Government Incentives and Rebates, Smart Building Integration.
The “Single Splits” category dominated the market in 2023.
The key players in the market are Carrier Corporation, Trane Technologies, Lennox International Inc., Daikin Industries Ltd., Johnson Controls International plc, Mitsubishi Electric Corporation, Rheem Manufacturing Company, Goodman Manufacturing Company L.P., York International Corporation, American Standard Companies Inc., Fujitsu General Ltd., Bryant Heating & Cooling Systems, Amana Corporation, Ruud Manufacturing Company, Emerson Electric Co., Others.
The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period, 2024-2033.
The US HVAC Market size was valued at USD 34,148.8 Million in 2024.